Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach
Journal article, 2022

Transport accounts for 24% of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels. Governments face challenges in developing feasible and equitable mitigation strategies to reduce energy consumption and manage the transition to low-carbon transport systems. To meet the local and global transport emission reduction targets, policymakers need more realistic/sophisticated future projections of transport demand to better understand the speed and depth of the actions required to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we argue that the lack of access to high-quality data on the current and historical travel demand and interdisciplinary research hinders transport planning and sustainable transitions toward low-carbon transport futures. We call for a greater interdisciplinary collaboration agenda across open data, data science, behaviour modelling, and policy analysis. These advancemets can reduce some of the major uncertainties and contribute to evidence-based solutions toward improving the sustainability performance of future transport systems. The paper also points to some needed efforts and directions to provide robust insights to policymakers. We provide examples of how these efforts could benefit from the International Transport Energy Modeling Open Data project and open science interdisciplinary collaborations.

Author

Sonia Yeh

Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Physical Resource Theory

Jorge Gil

Chalmers, Architecture and Civil Engineering, Urban Design and Planning

Page Kyle

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Paul Kishimoto

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Pierpaolo Cazzola

Columbia University

International Transport Forum-OECD

Matteo Craglia

International Transport Forum-OECD

Oreane Edelenbosch

Utrecht University

Panagiotis Fragkos

E3Modelling S.A

Lew Fulton

University of California at Davis

Yuan Liao

Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Physical Resource Theory

Luis Martinez

International Transport Forum-OECD

David L McCollum

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Joshua Miller

International Council on Clean Transportation

Rafael H M Pereira

Institute for Applied Economic Research (Ipea)

Jacob Teter

International Energy Agency

Progress in Energy

25161083 (eISSN)

Vol. 4 4 043002

Next generation of AdVanced InteGrated Assessment modelling to support climaTE policy making (Navigate)

European Commission (EC) (EC/H2020/821124), 2019-09-01 -- 2023-08-31.

Subject Categories

Other Environmental Engineering

Environmental Analysis and Construction Information Technology

Energy Systems

DOI

10.1088/2516-1083/ac86b5

More information

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1/3/2024 9