Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action
Journal article, 2024

We propose to explore the sustainability of climate policies based on a novel commitment metric. This metric allows to quantify how future generations’ scope of action is affected by short-term climate policy. In an example application, we show that following a moderate emission scenario like SSP2-4.5 will commit future generations to heavily rely on carbon dioxide removal or/and solar radiation modification to avoid unmanageable sea level rise.


lost options

generational fairness




Marina Martínez Montero

Universite catholique de Louvain

Nuria Brede

University of Potsdam

Victor Couplet

Universite catholique de Louvain

Michel Crucifix

Universite catholique de Louvain

Nicola Botta

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Chalmers, Computer Science and Engineering (Chalmers), Functional Programming

Claudia Wieners

Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht

Oxford Open Climate Change

26344068 (eISSN)

Vol. 4 1 kgae004

Subject Categories

Health Care Service and Management, Health Policy and Services and Health Economy

Environmental Sciences

Climate Research



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