Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach
Journal article, 2022
Transport accounts for 24% of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels. Governments face challenges in developing feasible and equitable mitigation strategies to reduce energy consumption and manage the transition to low-carbon transport systems. To meet the local and global transport emission reduction targets, policymakers need more realistic/sophisticated future projections of transport demand to better understand the speed and depth of the actions required to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we argue that the lack of access to high-quality data on the current and historical travel demand and interdisciplinary research hinders transport planning and sustainable transitions toward low-carbon transport futures. We call for a greater interdisciplinary collaboration agenda across open data, data science, behaviour modelling, and policy analysis. These advancemets can reduce some of the major uncertainties and contribute to evidence-based solutions toward improving the sustainability performance of future transport systems. The paper also points to some needed efforts and directions to provide robust insights to policymakers. We provide examples of how these efforts could benefit from the International Transport Energy Modeling Open Data project and open science interdisciplinary collaborations.
Author
Sonia Yeh
Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Physical Resource Theory
Jorge Gil
Chalmers, Architecture and Civil Engineering, Urban Design and Planning
Page Kyle
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Paul Kishimoto
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Pierpaolo Cazzola
Columbia University
International Transport Forum-OECD
Matteo Craglia
International Transport Forum-OECD
Oreane Edelenbosch
Utrecht University
Panagiotis Fragkos
E3Modelling S.A
Lew Fulton
University of California at Davis
Yuan Liao
Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Physical Resource Theory
Luis Martinez
International Transport Forum-OECD
David L McCollum
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Joshua Miller
International Council on Clean Transportation
Rafael H M Pereira
Institute for Applied Economic Research (Ipea)
Jacob Teter
International Energy Agency
Progress in Energy
25161083 (eISSN)
Vol. 4 4 043002Next generation of AdVanced InteGrated Assessment modelling to support climaTE policy making (Navigate)
European Commission (EC) (EC/H2020/821124), 2019-09-01 -- 2023-08-31.
Subject Categories
Other Environmental Engineering
Environmental Analysis and Construction Information Technology
Energy Systems
DOI
10.1088/2516-1083/ac86b5