Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach
Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2022
Transport accounts for 24% of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels. Governments face challenges in developing feasible and equitable mitigation strategies to reduce energy consumption and manage the transition to low-carbon transport systems. To meet the local and global transport emission reduction targets, policymakers need more realistic/sophisticated future projections of transport demand to better understand the speed and depth of the actions required to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper, we argue that the lack of access to high-quality data on the current and historical travel demand and interdisciplinary research hinders transport planning and sustainable transitions toward low-carbon transport futures. We call for a greater interdisciplinary collaboration agenda across open data, data science, behaviour modelling, and policy analysis. These advancemets can reduce some of the major uncertainties and contribute to evidence-based solutions toward improving the sustainability performance of future transport systems. The paper also points to some needed efforts and directions to provide robust insights to policymakers. We provide examples of how these efforts could benefit from the International Transport Energy Modeling Open Data project and open science interdisciplinary collaborations.
Författare
Sonia Yeh
Chalmers, Rymd-, geo- och miljövetenskap, Fysisk resursteori
Jorge Gil
Chalmers, Arkitektur och samhällsbyggnadsteknik, Stadsbyggnad
Page Kyle
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Paul Kishimoto
Internationales Institut fuer Angewandte Systemanalyse
Pierpaolo Cazzola
International Transport Forum-OECD
Columbia University
Matteo Craglia
International Transport Forum-OECD
Oreane Edelenbosch
Universiteit Utrecht
Panagiotis Fragkos
E3-Modelling
Lew Fulton
University of California
Yuan Liao
Chalmers, Rymd-, geo- och miljövetenskap, Fysisk resursteori
Luis Martinez
International Transport Forum-OECD
David L McCollum
Internationales Institut fuer Angewandte Systemanalyse
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Joshua Miller
International Council on Clean Transportation
Rafael H M Pereira
Institute for Applied Economic Research (Ipea)
Jacob Teter
International Energy Agency
Progress in Energy
25161083 (eISSN)
Vol. 4 4 043002Next generation of AdVanced InteGrated Assessment modelling to support climaTE policy making (Navigate)
Europeiska kommissionen (EU) (EC/H2020/821124), 2019-09-01 -- 2023-08-31.
Ämneskategorier (SSIF 2011)
Annan naturresursteknik
Miljöanalys och bygginformationsteknik
Energisystem
DOI
10.1088/2516-1083/ac86b5