A Method to Assess and Argue for Practical Significance in Software Engineering
Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2022

A key goal of empirical research in software engineering is to assess practical significance, which answers whether the observed effects of some compared treatments show a relevant difference in practice in realistic scenarios. Even though plenty of standard techniques exist to assess statistical significance, connecting it to practical significance is not straightforward or routinely done; indeed, only a few empirical studies in software engineering assess practical significance in a principled and systematic way. In this paper, we argue that Bayesian data analysis provides suitable tools to assess practical significance rigorously. We demonstrate our claims in a case study comparing different test techniques. The case study's data was previously analyzed (Afzal et al., 2015) using standard techniques focusing on statistical significance. Here, we build a multilevel model of the same data, which we fit and validate using Bayesian techniques. Our method is to apply cumulative prospect theory on top of the statistical model to quantitatively connect our statistical analysis output to a practically meaningful context. This is then the basis both for assessing and arguing for practical significance. Our study demonstrates that Bayesian analysis provides a technically rigorous yet practical framework for empirical software engineering. A substantial side effect is that any uncertainty in the underlying data will be propagated through the statistical model, and its effects on practical significance are made clear. Thus, in combination with cumulative prospect theory, Bayesian analysis supports seamlessly assessing practical significance in an empirical software engineering context, thus potentially clarifying and extending the relevance of research for practitioners.

Analytical models

Decision making

Statistical analysis

empirical software engineering

statistical significance

Data models

Software engineering

practical significance

Bayes methods

Bayesian analysis



Richard Torkar

Göteborgs universitet

Carlo A Furia

Universita della Svizzera italiana

Robert Feldt

Chalmers, Data- och informationsteknik, Software Engineering

Francisco Gomes de Oliveira Neto

Göteborgs universitet

Lucas Gren

Göteborgs universitet

Per Lenberg

Göteborgs universitet

Neil A. Ernst

University of Victoria

IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering

0098-5589 (ISSN) 19393520 (eISSN)

Vol. 48 6 2053-2065





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