An open data-based model for generating a synthetic low-voltage grid to estimate hosting capacity
Journal article, 2024

This study develops and applies an open data-based reference electricity grid analysis (REGAL) model designed to create a synthetic representation of a low-voltage (LV) grid for a country-size geographic area. The model enables large-scale grid simulation in which new loads, such as electric vehicle charging, can be added to estimate their impacts on the current LV grid. The modeling is carried out in three steps: (1) generation of a synthetic LV grid; (2) addition of residential loads, including electric vehicle charging; and (3) evaluating if the grid capacity is exceeded. The grid is generated by selecting transformers and cables so that the system can fulfill the current demand while meeting national regulations and standards for distribution grids, all at the lowest total cost. This paper presents the results of calibration and validation against real-world data for the predicted electricity demands and synthetic grid generated by the model. Different calibration values were explored, and the accuracy of the estimations of grid capacities was calibrated using proprietary real-world data from grid operators. For a region with multiple grid cells, an average deviation from real-world data of ±10 % was achieved. For an average area of 1 km2, the error was 44.5 %, which means that the model is not suitable for analysis on this geographic level. However, the level of accuracy is deemed sufficient for initial estimations of hosting capacity for larger geographic areas, such as a region or a country, thereby enabling estimations of hosting capacity in new areas that lack publicly accessible grid capacities.

Hosting capacity

Electric vehicles

Electricity grid

Low-voltage grid

Synthetic grid representation

Home charging

Author

Therese Lundblad

Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Energy Technology

Maria Taljegård

Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Energy Technology

Niclas Mattsson

Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Energy Technology

Elias Hartvigsson

Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Energy Technology

Filip Johnsson

Chalmers, Space, Earth and Environment, Energy Technology

Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks

23524677 (eISSN)

Vol. 39 101483

Areas of Advance

Energy

Subject Categories

Energy Systems

Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering

DOI

10.1016/j.segan.2024.101483

More information

Latest update

8/8/2024 7