Emission metrics under the 2°C climate stabilization target
Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2013

In multi-gas climate policies such as the Kyoto Protocol one has to decide how to compare the emissions of different greenhouse gases. The choice of metric could have significant implications for mitigation priorities considered under the prospective negotiations for climate mitigation agreements. Several metrics have been proposed for this task with the Global Warming Potential (GWP) being the most common. However, these metrics have not been systematically compared to each other in the context of the 2 A degrees C climate stabilization target. Based on a single unified modeling framework, we demonstrate that metric values span a wide range, depending on the metric structure and the treatment of the time dimension. Our finding confirms the basic salient point that metrics designed to represent different aspects of the climate and socio-economic system behave differently. Our result also reflects a complex interface between science and policy surrounding metrics. Thus, it is important to select or design a metric suitable for climate stabilization based on an interaction among practitioners, policymakers, and scientists.

co2

greenhouse-gas emissions

costs

ch4

global warming potentials

economics

Författare

K. Tanaka

Cicero Senter for klimaforskning

Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETH)

Daniel Johansson

Chalmers, Energi och miljö, Fysisk resursteori

Brian O'Neill

National Center for Atmospheric Research

J. Fuglestvedt

Cicero Senter for klimaforskning

Climatic Change

0165-0009 (ISSN) 1573-1480 (eISSN)

Vol. 117 4 933-941

Ämneskategorier

Meteorologi och atmosfärforskning

DOI

10.1007/s10584-013-0693-8