The influence of passenger car front shape on pedestrian injury risk observed from German in-depth accident data
Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2017

Quantified relationships between passenger car front shape and pedestrian injury risk derived fromaccident data are sparse, especially considering the significant recent changes in car front design. Thepurpose of this paper is therefore to investigate the detailed effects of passenger car front shape oninjury risk to a pedestrian’s head, thorax, pelvis and leg in the event of a vehicle pedestrian impact.Firstly, an accident sample of 594 pedestrian cases captured during 2000–2015 from the German In-Depth Accident Study (GIDAS) database was employed. Multicollinearity diagnostic statistics were thenused to detect multicollinearity between the predictors. Following this, logistic regression was appliedto quantify the effects of passenger car front shape on injury risks while controlling for impact speedand pedestrian age. Results indicate that the bumper lower depth (BLD), bumper lower height (BLH),bumper upper height (BUH) and normalised bumper lower/upper height (NBLH/NBUH) are statisticallysignificant for AIS2+ leg injury risk. The normalised bonnet leading edge height (NBLEH) has a statisticallysignificant influence on AIS2+ femur/pelvis injury occurrence. The passenger car front shape did notshow statistical significance for AIS3+ thorax and head injuries. The impact speed and pedestrian age aregenerally significant factors influencing AIS2+ leg and pelvis injuries, and AIS3+ thorax and head injuries.However, when head impacts are fixed on the central windscreen region both pedestrian age and impactspeed are not statistically significant for AIS3+ head injury. For quantified effects, when controlling forspeed, age and BUH, an average 7% and 6% increase in AIS2+ leg injury odds was observed for every 1 cmincrease in BLD and BLH respectively; 1 cm increase in BUH results in a 7% decrease in AIS2+ leg injuryodds when the BLD or BLH are fixed respectively (again controlling for impact speed and pedestrian age);the average AIS2+ femur/pelvis injury odds increase by 74% for a 10% increase in NBLEH. These findingssuggest that passenger car bumpers should support the lower leg with a low and flat lower bumper andeven contact up to the femur area with a high upper bumper which extends above the knee to protectthe pedestrian’s leg. A low passenger car bonnet leading edge helps to reduce femur/pelvis injury risk.The passenger car front shape parameters are less influential than impact speed and pedestrian age forpedestrian injury risk.

Pedestrian injury risk

Passenger car front shape

Logistic regression

Pedestrian accident data


G. Li

Trinity College Dublin

Changsha University of Science and Technology

Mathew Lyons

University of Edinburgh

Bingyu Wang

Xiamen University of Technology

Hunan University

Jikuang Yang

Vehicle and Traffic Safety Centre at Chalmers

Chalmers, Tillämpad mekanik, Fordonssäkerhet

Dietmar Otte

Leibniz Universität Hannover

Ciaran Simms

Trinity College Dublin

Accident Analysis and Prevention

0001-4575 (ISSN)

Vol. 101 11-21



Bioinformatik (beräkningsbiologi)


Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi


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