What is the relation between crashes from crash databases and near crashes from naturalistic data?
Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2020

Naturalistic cycling data are increasingly available worldwide and promise ground-breaking insights into road-user behaviour and crash-causation mechanisms. Because few, low-severity crashes are available, safety analyses of naturalistic data often rely on near-crashes. Nevertheless, the relation between near-crashes and crashes is still unknown, and the debate on whether it is legitimate to use near-crashes as a proxy for crashes is still open. This paper exemplifies a methodology that combines crashes from a crash database and near-crashes from naturalistic studies to explore their potential relation. Using exposure to attribute a risk level to individual crashes and near-crashes depending on their temporal and spatial distribution, this methodology proposes an alternative to blackspots for crash analysis and compares crash risk with near-crash risk. The novelty of this methodology is to use exposure with high time and space resolution to estimate the risk for specific crashes and near-crashes.

Traffic safety

crash risk


near-crash analysis



Marco Dozza

Chalmers, Mekanik och maritima vetenskaper, Fordonssäkerhet

Journal of Transportation Safety and Security

1943-9962 (ISSN) 1943-9970 (eISSN)

Vol. 12 1 37-51

Cyklistkomfortgränser: forskningsöversikt och experimentell ram

Trafikverket (2017/22107), 2017-06-01 -- 2018-06-30.




Transportteknik och logistik

Annan samhällsbyggnadsteknik



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