The ghost plume phenomenon and its impact on zenith-facing remote sensing measurements of volcanic SO2 emission rates

Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2025

A large source of error in SO2 emission rates derived from mobile Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (DOAS) of volcanic gas plumes is the uncertainty in atmospheric light paths between the sun and the instrument, particularly under non-ideal atmospheric conditions, such as the presence of low clouds. DOAS instruments measure the SO2 column density along the effective light path, so changes to that pathway directly affect the measured SO2 signal. Due to complex radiative transfer mechanisms when a cloud is between the DOAS viewing position and a volcanic plume, measured plumes can appear spatially offset from their true location, a phenomenon informally referred to as “ghost plumes.” In addition to the appearance of ghost plumes, DOAS measurements recorded in non-ideal conditions have poorly characterized errors and are often discarded, limiting the data available to characterize volcanic degassing. In this study we simulate the radiative transfer associated with zenith-facing mobile DOAS traverses using the McArtim radiative transfer model for scenarios when there is a cloud layer between the instrument and the volcanic plume. In total, 217 permutations of atmospheric optical conditions are considered with varying cloud opacities (AOD = 0, 1, 2, 4, 8, 20), plume opacities (AOD = 0, 1, 2, 4, 8), solar zenith angles (SZA = 1°, 30°, 60°), and cloud thicknesses (200, 400, 800 m). We first develop objective criteria for selecting SO2 baseline absorption levels and plume spatial extents. The simulated plume traverses are then integrated to obtain the SO2 cross-sectional burdens which, after multiplication with the wind speed, yield SO2 emission rates. We find large modification in the shape of the modeled cross-sectional burdens even under translucent (low AOD) cloud conditions in our modeled scenarios. Despite modification of the plume shape, the presence of a low cloud layer is typically not a large source of error in the SO2 cross-sectional burden or emission rate obtained from zenith-facing DOAS traverses. We find that all measured cross-sectional burdens simulated using an aerosol-free plume in the above conditions and SZA ≤ 30° are within ±25% of the true value.