Scenario-Based Pathways for Electrifying India’s Multimodal Passenger Transportation: Infrastructure and Critical Material Considerations
Poster (konferens), 2025
This study develops a Dynamic Material Flow Analysis (DMFA) model to analyze EV adoption across different transportation modes in India between 2018 and 2050, considering the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS), the Announced Pledges Scenario (APS), and the EV30@30 campaign. We assess the demand for charging infrastructure, battery capacity, and CRMs under each scenario. The analysis shows significant growth in demand for copper, lithium, and nickel, which pose the highest supply risks, especially under ambitious electrification scenarios like EV30@30. Cobalt demand may also rise sharply, while manganese is found to have the least risky supply for India in the long term. These findings highlight potential bottlenecks in the supply of key CRMs, stressing the need for efficient resource planning in the EV ecosystem.
The results of this scenario-based analysis have important implications for industries involved in EV manufacturing, infrastructure development, and CRM supply, as well as for policymakers tasked with designing national electrification strategies. Although the findings are specific to India’s multimodal transportation system, they offer insights relevant to other regions undergoing strong electrification of passenger transportation. The study emphasizes the need for careful planning and coordination across sectors to manage infrastructure expansion and material demands, ensuring a sustainable transition in line with future electrification pathways.
Scenario pathways
Dynamic Material Flow Analysis
Multimodal passenger transportation
Electric vehicles
Critical raw materials
Författare
Deepjyoti Das
Chalmers, Teknikens ekonomi och organisation, Environmental Systems Analysis
Maria Ljunggren
Chalmers, Teknikens ekonomi och organisation, Environmental Systems Analysis
Pradip Kalbar
IIT Bombay
Ljubljana, Slovenia,
FutuRaM Future Availability of Secondary Raw Materials
Europeiska kommissionen (EU) (101058522), 2022-06-01 -- 2026-05-31.
Drivkrafter
Hållbar utveckling
Styrkeområden
Transport
Energi
Ämneskategorier (SSIF 2011)
Naturresursteknik