Forecasting the Observable Rates of Gravitationally Lensed Supernovae for the PASSAGES Dusty Starbursts
Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2026

More than 60 years have passed since the first formal suggestion to use strongly lensed supernovae (SNe) to measure the expansion rate of the Universe through time-delay cosmography. Yet, fewer than 10 such objects have ever been discovered. We consider the merits of a targeted strategy focused on lensed hyperluminous infrared galaxies, which are among the most rapidly star-forming galaxies known in the Universe. With star formation rates (SFRs) similar to 200-6000 M circle dot yr-1, the similar to 30 objects in the Planck All-Sky Survey to Analyze Gravitationally-lensed Extreme Starbursts are excellent candidates for a case study, in particular, and have already led to the discovery of the multiply imaged SN H0pe. Considering their lens model-corrected SFRs, we estimate their intrinsic SN rates to be an extraordinary 1.8-65 yr-1 (core-collapse) and 0.2-6.4 yr-1 (Type Ia). Moreover, these massive starbursts typically have star-forming companions which are unaccounted for in this tally. We demonstrate a strong correlation between Einstein radius and typical time delays, with cluster lenses often exceeding several months (and therefore most favorable for high-precision H0 inferences). A multivisit monitoring campaign with a sensitive infrared telescope (namely, JWST) is necessary to mitigate dust attenuation. Nevertheless, a porous interstellar medium and clumpy star formation in these extreme galaxies might produce favorable conditions for detecting SNe as transient point sources. Targeted campaigns of known lensed galaxies to discover new lensed SNe can greatly complement wide-area cadenced surveys. Increasing the sample size helps to realize the potential of SN time-delay cosmography to elucidate the Hubble tension through a single-step measurement, independent of other H0 techniques.

Författare

Patrick Stanley Kamieneski

Chalmers, Rymd-, geo- och miljövetenskap, Astronomi och plasmafysik

Arizona State University

Rogier A. Windhorst

Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, POB 876004

Brenda L. Frye

University of Arizona

Min S. Yun

University of Massachusetts

Kevin C. Harrington

Atacama Large Millimeter-submillimeter Array (ALMA)

National Astronomical Observatory of Japan

European Southern Observatory Santiago

Simon D. Mork

Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, POB 876004

Nicholas Foo

Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, POB 876004

Nikhil Garuda

University of Arizona

Massimo Pascale

Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Astron, 501 Campbell Hall 3411

Belen Alcalde Pampliega

Square Kilometre Array, UK

European Southern Observatory Santiago

Timothy Carleton

Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, POB 876004

Seth H. Cohen

Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, POB 876004

Carlos Garcia Diaz

University of Massachusetts

Rolf A. Jansen

Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, POB 876004

Eric F. Jimenez-Andrade

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

Anton M. Koekemoer

Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI)

James D. Lowenthal

Smith Coll

Allison Noble

Arizona State Univ, Sch Earth & Space Explorat, POB 876004

Justin D. R. Pierel

Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI)

Amit Vishwas

Cornell University

Q. Daniel Wang

University of Massachusetts

Ilsang Yoon

National Radio Astronomy Observatory

Astrophysical Journal

0004-637X (ISSN) 1538-4357 (eISSN)

Vol. 1000 2 235

Ämneskategorier (SSIF 2025)

Astronomi, astrofysik och kosmologi

DOI

10.3847/1538-4357/ae459e

Mer information

Senast uppdaterat

2026-04-07