Probabilistic risk assessment for integrating survivability and safety measures on naval ships
Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift, 2012

Conflicts of today are characterized by both traditional and irregular tactics and by non-state actors making innovative use of modern technologies. These conditions set new demands on naval ships. The aim of this investigation is to describe how, based on probabilistic risk assessment, the concept of operation for a naval ship can be turned into safety scenarios to be used in the evaluation of risk. In this investigation, civilian state-of-the-art methods for probabilistic risk assessment are merged with the specific demands of naval ships. Relevant aspects of safety culture, codes, regulations and rules are analysed with respect to requirements on safety scenarios, and military operational research with respect to modelling military systems. The results show that the scenarios must have calculable probability and must be adapted to the vessel in question. Results from simulations show that modelling operational tasks is one way to support experts in the definition of safety scenarios.

scenario

security

military-technology

safety

Risk analysis

naval ships

Författare

Hans Liwång

Chalmers, Sjöfart och marin teknik, Marine Design

Jonas Ringsberg

Chalmers, Sjöfart och marin teknik, Marine Design

M. Norsell

Försvarshögskolan

Transactions of the Royal Institution of Naval Architects Part A: InternationalJournal of Maritime Engineering

1479-8751 (ISSN) 1740-0716 (eISSN)

Vol. 154 1 A21-A30

Chalmers styrkeområde Transport – finansiering 2012

Chalmers, 2012-01-01 -- 2012-12-31.

Drivkrafter

Hållbar utveckling

Styrkeområden

Transport

Ämneskategorier

Övrig annan teknik

DOI

10.3940/rina.ijme.2012.a1.219

Mer information

Senast uppdaterat

2018-10-11